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Coincidence
I don’t suppose anybody
can remember the first coincidence
that ever happened to them.
It’s a phenomenon we
take for granted, like the
weather. A friend telephones
as you’re about to
call them. You bump into
some stranger who knows your
cousin on the far side of
the world. You have an amazing
run of luck - which, after
all, is just a chain of coincidences
- at some game of chance.
There is something called “the
library angel” known
to all writers and students.
It refers to the way in which,
when you start to research
some particular subject,
relevant books and information
sometimes seem to fall into
your lap as if by magic.
Another experience, common
to everyone, not just writers,
is of coming across some
new and rather obscure word,
then finding it being so
widely used over the next
few days that you can’t
believe you hadn’t
known it before.
A coincidence can be trivial,
in fact usually is. Even
so, it can change your life
- like the woman who picked
up a phone and got a crossed
line, and found herself listening
to her husband calling his
mistress from the office.
There is no explanation
for such things, and most
people would probably say
no need for one. But sometimes
the sheer scale of the events
and personalities involved
demands one.
Abraham Lincoln was elected
to Congress in 1847, John
F. Kennedy in 1947. The names
Lincoln and Kennedy both
contain seven letters. The
wife of each president lost
a son while she was first
lady. Both presidents were
shot in the head from behind
on a Friday while sitting
beside their wives; both
were succeeded by a southerner
named Johnson, and the two
Johnsons were born a hundred
years apart. Both their killers
were themselves killed before
they could be brought to
justice. The names John Wilkes
Booth and Lee Harvey Oswald
both contain fifteen letters.
Booth was born in 1839, Oswald
in 1939. Lincoln had a secretary
called Kennedy; Kennedy a
secretary called Lincoln.
Lincoln was killed in the
Ford Theatre; Kennedy was
killed in a Ford Lincoln.
This famous list of coincidences
has been regularly trashed
by rationalist sceptics,
who argue that it is merely
our need to make sense of
our existence that provokes
us to seek patterns among
random phenomena. And we
will always find them. A
recent book claiming to discover
hidden codes in the Bible
has been dismissed on just
these grounds. If you have
a computer sweep any text
in a sufficient number of
ways, the argument goes,
you will find any number
of “hidden messages”.
As an example, using this
method, one scientists found
the assassinations of Indira
Gandhi, Leon Trotsky, Martin
Luther King and Robert Kennedy
all predicted, in code, in “Moby
Dick”.
Similarly, with the Lincoln-Kennedy
parallels, sceptical researchers
came up with a remarkable
sixteen coincidences between
JFK and Mexican President
Alvaro Obregon. For example,
both “Kennedy” and “Obregon” have
seven letters; each was
assassinated; both their
assassins had three names
and died shortly after
killing the president;
Kennedy and Obregon were
both married in years ending
in 3; each had a son who
died shortly after birth;
and both came from large
families and died in their
forties.
Richard Dawkins, that scourge
of superstition and wilful
obscurantism, debunks his
own experience of amazing
coincidence in his book, “Unweaving
the Rainbow”. When
his wife bought her mother
an antique watch, she took
it home and peeled off the
label to find her mother's
initials - M.A.B. - already
engraved on it. "Uncanny?" Dawkins
asks. He does the calculation
based on frequencies of names
in phone directories and
finds that if everyone in
Britain bought an antique
engraved watch, 3,000 of
them would find their mother's
initials on it.
Another favourite subject
of the debunkers is the coincidence
of walking into a room and
finding someone who shares
your birthdate (not just
birthday). It is, however,
mathematically inevitable
that in any random selection
of twenty-three people there
is a 50 percent chance that
at least two of them will
share the same birthdate.
In a group of forty-one people,
that probability rises to
90%. There are no mysterious
forces at work here. It is
a calculation that anyone,
with enough maths, can do
for themselves.
So what is one to believe?
Like all questions of belief,
the answer is as much a matter
of subjectivity and emotion
as of reason or logic. Like
everyone, I myself have experienced
remarkable coincidences.
For example, several years
ago I was writing a novel
called “Superstition”.
Every couple of days, in
some idle moment, I would
check “Document Information” which
tells you how many words
you’ve written so far,
how many lines and paragraphs,
average word length, and
so on. Among this data is
the average number of words
you are writing per sentence.
I found that I was consistently
writing an average of 13
words per sentence. I thought
maybe I always wrote 13 words
per sentence; I found it
hard to believe I was doing
it only now, unconsciously,
because I was writing a novel
called “Superstition”.
But when I checked the manuscripts
of other novels and stories
of mine. I found my average
was 14 to 16 words per sentence,
never 13.
Much earlier, before I had
begun really writing the
novel, I had sold the films
rights on the strength of
a 13-page outline. It was
a quite unintentional length;
it just worked out that way.
I do not recall consciously
registering the moment at
which the deal was struck.
However, I saw in my diary
shortly afterwards that it
had happened on the afternoon
of Tuesday the 13th of February,
1996.
The producers of the film
asked me to meet them at
the Cannes Festival in 1997.
The only day we could all
manage turned out to be Tuesday
the 13th of May.
In June they flew me out
to L.A. for further meetings.
Still nobody was actively
thinking “thirteen”.
I arrived on the 8th, planning
to fly on to New York to
see the American publishers
of “Superstition” the
following Friday - which
turned out to be the 13th
of June.
While in L.A. I picked up
from my agent a copy of
the fully executed contract.
The covering letter from
the agency’s legal
department was dated the
13th of May - coincidentally
the same day on which I
had lunched with the producers
in Cannes.
During the summer I found
myself finishing the screenplay
version to a deadline. The
reasons for this deadline
don’t matter. The point
is that I had to get the
finished draft in as soon
as possible. With every incentive
to make it earlier, I didn’t
manage it before October
13th.
In February 1998 I had to
have a meeting with my London
publishers to discuss the
paperback edition of the
book. The only date on which
it turned out that everyone
could be there was Friday
the 13th of February.
At some point after the
13th of October, 1997, when
I handed in my script, the
producers had hired another
screenwriter do some work
on it (a perfectly usual
procedure). What wasn’t
so usual, in the circumstances,
was that this writer’s
re-write of my script reached
me by special delivery on
Friday, March 13th, 1998.
It’s silly, really,
but it just goes on, and
to no apparent point. If
we had been making this happen
even half consciously, we
would surely have published
the book on the 13th. As
it was, it came out on the
10th of July. However, my
editor and I weren’t
able to have our planned
celebratory lunch on that
day, so it had to be moved
to the following Monday.
Which was the 13th.
Lastly, I was on various
radio and TV shows during
the week of publication.
Nobody gave any thought to
the actual number of shows.
It was, as always, just a
question of getting on as
many as possible. At the
end of the week, when I glanced
through my schedule and counted
up the number of broadcasts
I’d done, I saw it
was thirteen.
It was C.G. Jung, working
with the physicist and Nobel
laureate Wolfgang Paul, who
gave this phenomenon the
name “synchronicity”.
In 1952 they published a
treatise called: “Synchronicity:
An Acausal Connecting principle”.
Surprisingly, there is still
no mention in the Encyclopaedia
Britannica that these two
remarkable men, despite being
treated at length individually,
ever knew each other. You
will search the index in
vain for any mention of synchronicity.
In fact you will search pretty
much the whole of scientific
literature without success.
Twenty years ago the Concise
Oxford Dictionary didn’t
list the word either. Now
it does, defining it as: “The
simultaneous occurrence of
events which appear significantly
related but have no discernible
connection”.
Jung gives an example of
synchronicity in his practice
as a psychoanalyst.
“
A young woman I was treating
had, at a critical moment,
a dream in which she was
given a golden scarab. While
she was telling me this dream
I sat with my back to the
closed window. Suddenly I
heard a noise behind me,
like a gentle tapping. I
turned round and saw a flying
insect knocking against the
window-pane from outside.
I opened the window and caught
the creature in the air as
it flew in. It was the nearest
analogy to a golden scarab
that one finds in our latitudes,
a scarabaeid beetle, the
common rose-chafer (Cetonia
aurata), which contrary to
its usual habits had evidently
felt an urge to get into
a dark room at this particular
moment.”
Up till that time, Jung
writes, the woman had refused
to believe that her dreams
could be important in resolving
her psychological problems.
She could not see the connection.
Now she understood how all
kinds of connections might
exist, and how they would
explain a great many things
if they did. She recovered
quickly.
One understands the reluctance
of sceptics to accept such
a concept as scientific.
It is not something that
can be analysed and broken
down into its component parts.
This “reductionist” approach
is still, fundamentally,
how we define scientific
understanding. The problem
is that these component parts
also have a tendency to break
down.
For example, the atom has
turned out to be mostly space,
and sub-atomic particles
such as the electron and
the photon are described
as existing in a probabilistic
limbo of many possible superimposed
states - until forced into
a single state by an act
of observation. Thus, consciousness
itself has become an integral
part of any comprehensive
definition of reality. As
one distinguished science
writer has put it, “When
we peer down into the deepest
recesses of matter or at
the farthest edge of the
universe, we see, finally,
our own puzzled faces looking
back at us.”
So what does this strange
synergy of mind and matter
tell us about coincidence?
That we make coincidences
happen in some way? That
we think them into existence?
It seems extreme. Yet John
Wheeler, one of the most
distinguished physicists
of the twentieth century,
the man who coined the term “Black
Holes”, has said, “I
do take 100% seriously the
idea that the world is a
figment of the imagination.” He
has also famously said, “There
is no ‘out there’ out
there.”
Jung wrote: “We delude
ourselves with the thought
that we know much more about
matter than about a ‘metaphysical’ mind
or spirit, and so we overestimate
material causation and believe
that it alone affords us
a true explanation of life.
But matter is just as inscrutable
as mind.”
In other words, mind and
matter are one. Back in the
twenties and thirties, when
quantum physics was revolutionising
our vision of reality, cosmologists
like James Jeans and Arthur
Eddington were saying such
things as, “The stuff
of the world is mind stuff“;
and, “The universe
looks less and less like
a great machine and more
and more like a great thought”.
How much substance, we may
wonder, has a thought?
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